From: "Lina" 
Newsgroups: alt.building.realestate alt.invest.real-estate alt.realtor.relocation misc.invest.real-estate
Subject: Re: How to prove a buyer's market?
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Date: Mon, 20 Feb 2006 19:09:05 GMT

Hello, to get better exposure, I recommend listing this on 
www.westlist.com - they just redid the real estate community and it's a good 
time to list free. You can list as anonymous but I recommend making an 
account if you are a realtor.

http://www.westlist.com

Whether you are a Home Buyer, Seller, Real Estate Investor, or just looking 
for some real estate advice, you'll find a wealth of valuable resources 
there.

Email me for any questions,

Best wishes,

~Lina



"Doug Freyburger"  wrote in message 
news:1135798980.525203.300330@z14g2000cwz.googlegroups.com...
> Keter Pardes wrote:
>> Doug Freyburger wrote:
>>
>> > On a more broad stroke, the type of market determines which
>> > strategies to use.  Be the contrarian - Sell in a buyers' market,
>> > buy in a sellers' market.  If we're in a buyers' market phase then
>> > it's time to accelerate purchases and increase the number of
>> > units in your portfolio.
>>
>> I've done about 1500 transactions and my gut tells me we've peaked. I've
>> delveloped a knack for pricing houses but this has come from experience. 
>> I
>> would like to show others a more scientific way to get accurate results. 
>> It
>> just seems no one can specifically tell me how to do it.
>
> Modelling price trends based on past performance and current
> inventory is something done regularly by stock market
> analysts.  The statistics involved are lower division college
> courses for math majors, upper division for economists majors,
> masters level for buiness majors.  Regression analysis,
> least squares fit, data smoothing formuli.  The place to look
> for the math is textbooks on microeconomics or technical books
> by stock market analsts.
>
> I would be (pleasantly) surprised to find such material in any
> book on real estate rather than on stock/commodity markets.
> Most material I've read is about acheiving a positive cash flow on
> a single property not using market trends as if I'm dealing in
> commodity futures.
>
>